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Juarez, Chih., Mexico • Today is December 12, 2006
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Challenge: Politics decomposed
December 12, 2006
Updated: 3:44:59 AM Juarez when
Rafael Loret de Mola
writer and political analyst
Federal District One the paradoxes of Mexico's social composition has always been the abysmal distance from millions of workers subject to low wages and an excellent business class, buoyant, happy ally of the political class. To define reality, from opposing views, we speak the same of a private initiative, as responsible and committed, no doubt, hundreds of entrepreneurs are nationalist - and an oligarchy that has taken, for full political power. Facts rather than ideological nuances, exhibiting a small group of Mexican fortunate members of the list of billionaires in the world over as a conglomerate impoverished and low purchasing power. Perhaps
above serves to explain the phenomenon more evident today: a sharp political decomposition parallel operation to financial stability shielding under the scheme pro-big capital owners, many of them multinationals. Say in a normal perspective, the political crisis and would have impacted severely, the economic structures, especially the latent insecurity that arises from the clairvoyance to have a president under pressure and seemingly weak against an opponent overwhelmed and therefore strong .
The strength of macroeconomics, beneficial for investors with large flows, seems detached from the political confrontations often locked in the national life anecdotes. Ie as if we were to view two different nations, separated by status and compared in to acute social differences. This could explain the polarization of Mexican society that does not seem to yield to the passing of months and since the elections that he left the tension at the heart of endless quarrels.
The good news is that oil prices remain at a high level, for the moment, even if it starts, for now covertly, the privatization of the energy industry under the guise of state monopolies that are expiring in the perspective of the "modern" democracies, that is, few in America are returning to the starting point: the hidden autocracies. Nothing else has been a tendency towards re-election and returns with some exceptions.
There is therefore a splendid "cushion" to recoup some shocks, not very severe, in international markets due to the inevitable and permanent rearrangement of the major guiding the global economy. And thanks to this condition, it is possible that the deep political disintegration as evidenced after the embarrassing events of the first of December is a factor of imbalance between large universal financial and motivate them to seek less contaminated horizons.
the contrary, it is well known that fishermen earn troubled waters when they keep the networks place. The schematic minds of bankers and financiers do not give more ... and know very well how beneficial is when there is speculation, of course, room for it.
This is a brief explanation of why, until now, not in sight as a severe economic crisis could have been calculated on the basis of political earthquakes, in fact, had the effect of a volcano, once it appeared ground stopped moving, and to represent risk. The same in Congress from the outside of St. Lazarus. DEBATE
The face of the Prince of Asturias, Felipe de Borbón, during the inauguration of Felipe random Calderon, revealed not only the embarrassment of the guest in a situation that at times seemed uncontrollable, but the surprise at being in a different scenario to a nation under seal to be resilient and enduring. Doubts, however, vanished almost immediately: after the lightning taking the waters returned to normal without the effects are felt even in the least, in the rest of the locale.
The delegation invited the aristocrat, who is proud of having attended forty inaugurations of presidents from around the world, including Calderon, described by the English press as the most troubled all of them - did not fail to note the exceptional ease with which spent the rest of the tour, including the meeting of English businessmen and the new Mexican president, on Monday 4, in an almost relaxed atmosphere, without any outbreak of unrest despite the prowl for a intransigent opposition. It is as if the events of First Friday, three days ago, had only been a sort of mock factor and, therefore, to reality.
Mexico is well. Also in March 1994 following the assassination of Luis Donaldo Colosio, foreign observers noted that despite the seriousness of the incident, the country maintained its course and did not stop, and correspondents say the same thing foreign-witness to the great Oriana Fallacci was overwhelming - the massacre of Tlatelolco in 1968, noting that two hundred meters from the Plaza de las Tres Culturas had not even stopped the traffic and the city remained outside of Indeed, the genocide.
Perhaps in the past foreign investors did not know how well the idiosyncrasies of the Mexican and now. Hence the proverb that sentence, "Much Ado About Nothing" to affirm the strength of the state of affairs despite the many calls for change. And this is undoubtedly another important factor to explain the apparent distracted gesture of international corporations to the deformed structure country's political intransigence and severe duel between two irreconcilable camps. At least Mexico has ceased to be a hieroglyph. THE CHALLENGE
In Spain, the distinction welcome greeted the Mexican government, after the premiere of a new federal administration, to approach the Iberian capital as a sign of diversification-a stubborn purpose of the Mexican presidents for nearly half a century - thereby to avoid total dependence on the great American giant. Since then, the happiness of the European Union resulting in a greater tendency toward expansion in the territories of Latin America. The
promising perspective arises, first, a fundamental: Why does not Mexico also diversifying its currency reserves, assuring them part of "euro" and not in dollars, whereas the former had been fortified over the U.S. currency and is stronger? Even prominent economists, including Nobel laureate Robert Mundel, who I met and heard in Havana in 2002, proposing to establish guarantees in various currencies to avoid losses of some of them and play just speculation.
is not very difficult for economists to government service, beginning with the intelligent Agustín Carstens, are being brought action accordingly.
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